Loading…

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 25 May 2026, 14:55 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:57 UTC

Killa

@KillaXBT

Quoting · 8 May 2026, 18:06 UTC · context given to the AI

$BTC Expectations v.s Reality I think time based capitulation is more likely than a continuation to new highs. https://t.co/fcpVuFWxPG

$BTC Expectations v.s Reality. I will see you lower in the next 3-4 weeks. https://t.co/13UidYxryx https://t.co/TgHrnzE7te

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,639 at 25 May 2026, 15:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 30 days horizon, $61,018 at 24 Jun 2026, 15:00 UTC.
r = 61017.97 / 77639.29 − 1 = -21.4%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +21.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time