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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 23 May 2026, 17:30 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:59 UTC

That Martini Guy ₿

@MartiniGuyYT

Bitcoin took a lot of the downside liquidity over the past two days The next hot spot is above $78,000 https://t.co/wpI4cuksDg

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $75,400 at 23 May 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $76,591 at 24 May 2026, 18:00 UTC.
r = 76591.25 / 75399.73 − 1 = +1.6%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Bitcoin took a lot of the downside liquidity over the past two days”
Confidence: 95%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3