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Published 23 May 2026, 16:18 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:57 UTC
Killa
@KillaXBT
Quoting · 10 May 2026, 14:50 UTC · context given to the AI
$BTC Wouldn’t be surprised if next week’s candle is bearish. We just had the first move above April’s monthly high, typically where breakout longs start getting trapped at the start of a new month. I think 78.5K gets tested, with 74–75K also in play. After a 5 week climb, the structure looks primed for a a proper retest.$BTC Word of advice, this was a textbook setup. We’ve seen it multiple times on both the LTF and HTF. Strong closes above resistance in a downtrend are usually perceived as bullish, but more often than not price retraces back down and turns into a swing failure. Pushing up at the start of the month during a downtrend after sweeping external supply is rarely bullish. As we can see... textbook start of month hunt.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 73823.81 / 75358.78 − 1 = -2.0%d × r = +2.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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