Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 23 May 2026, 13:20 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 14:36 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

Quoting · 23 May 2026, 10:54 UTC · context given to the AI

JUST IN: Bitcoin falls under $75,000 40% chance it drops below $50,000 this year

Bitcoin "Electrical Cost" is currently around $46,000. Historically, $BTC has bottomed 10%-20% within this cost. Based on this, the bottom could be around $52,000-$53,000. https://t.co/jVlZvGPjug https://t.co/xphczgxaIp

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Bitcoin "Electrical Cost" is currently around $46,000.”
Confidence: 73%
Review state: needs review · Low confidence (73%)
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

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Prediction evidence

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