Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $74,675 at 23 May 2026, 13:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,014 at 24 May 2026, 13:00 UTC.
3. r = 77013.65 / 74674.89 − 1 = +3.1%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -3.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology