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Leaderboard / @Washigorira / 2058142247875666236:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 23 May 2026, 11:05 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:59 UTC

Wa

Titan

@Washigorira

#Bitcoin Short-term bearish momentum Losing FVG support suggests further downside. https://t.co/QeASiA7znc

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $74,710 at 23 May 2026, 12:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,219 at 24 May 2026, 12:00 UTC.
r = 77219.28 / 74710.31 − 1 = +3.4%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -3.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “#Bitcoin Short-term bearish momentum”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

incorrect

Baseline price

$74,710

Evaluation price

$77,219

Move

+3.4%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

11 Nov 2026, 00:14 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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