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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 23 May 2026, 09:40 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:17 UTC

Alejandro₿TC

@Alejandro_XBT

Unpopular opinion: Ethereum is completely dead. It won’t disappear overnight… it’ll die slowly. And I truly believe we’ll never see a new ATH again.

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,025 at 23 May 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,121 at 24 May 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 2120.87 / 2024.89 − 1 = +4.7%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -4.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time