Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first $UPS price at or after publication, $0.0453 at 23 May 2026, 01:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.04526 at 24 May 2026, 01:00 UTC.
3. r = 0.0452554876756916 / 0.0453008291473256 − 1 = -0.1%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology