Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $75,892 at 22 May 2026, 21:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,173 at 23 May 2026, 21:00 UTC.
3. r = 77173.31 / 75892.48 − 1 = +1.7%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -1.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology