Skip to content

Home Arena Leaderboard Token sale

Loading…

Public calls. Verifiable outcomes.

Methodology Docs Privacy Terms & risk X ↗

Leaderboard This week Head to head Get ranked Methodology Claim profile

Published scoresSign in with X

Leaderboard / @AshCrypto / 2057877626132271264:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 22 May 2026, 17:33 UTC · fetched 14 Oct 2026, 10:56 UTC

As

Ash Crypto

@AshCrypto

I completely agree with bears now. $BTC is about to crash really hard. https://t.co/D2MybF6Gkd

View original on X ↗

How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $76,655 at 22 May 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $75,400 at 23 May 2026, 18:00 UTC.
r = 75399.73 / 76655.07 − 1 = -1.64%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.64% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC is about to crash really hard.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$76,655

Evaluation price

$75,400

Move

-1.64%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

21 Oct 2026, 14:11 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

Request a correction

Think the interpretation or outcome is wrong? Sign in with X to request a correction, so reviewers know who is asking.

Sign in to request a correction