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Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 22 May 2026, 15:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

Merlijn The Trader

@MerlijnTrader

Bitcoin moves in parabolic curves. Every cycle: 4 bases. Parabolic top. -67% crash. 2021: top at $69K. Bottom at $15.5K (-67%). 2025: top at $115K. Bottom at $37-45K (-67% incoming). Same math. Same outcome. First buy zone: $54-60K. Full send: $40K. https://t.co/Hs1rWsQM74

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“THE NEW FED CHAIR WILL CREATE HUGE VOLATILITY. Bitcoin between $76K buyers and $78K sellers before the FED. My take: One sweep above $78K trap. Then rollover to $74K and beyond. Don't chase the breakout. The community will see every move live 👇 https://t.co/VNmkJ1yuMi https://t.co/P6TCDfq2Fp”Repeat22 May 2026, 13:00 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Bitcoin moves in parabolic curves.”
Confidence: 100%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record