Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,447 at 22 May 2026, 13:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $74,675 at 23 May 2026, 13:00 UTC.
3. r = 74674.89 / 77447.03 − 1 = -3.58%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +3.58% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology