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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 22 May 2026, 11:44 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:18 UTC

Krzysztof #BTC

@Krzyszt40559764

@bitcoindata21 30–40? What? lol... If you manage to pull that off, respect. I’m aiming for a safer 2.3x from here on BTC.

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,342 at 22 May 2026, 12:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $74,710 at 23 May 2026, 12:00 UTC.
r = 74710.31 / 77342.06 − 1 = -3.4%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -3.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time