Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 22 May 2026, 09:10 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC

Davinci Jeremie

@Davincij15

When you buy #Bitcoin today no one will talk about how you got it at $94k and not $80k when it's $1,000,000!!

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,214 at 22 May 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $74,576 at 23 May 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 74575.98 / 77213.98 − 1 = -3.4%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -3.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “When you buy #Bitcoin today no one will talk about how you got it at $94k and not $80k when it's $1,000,000!!”
Confidence: 94%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3