Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,616 at 21 May 2026, 20:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $75,769 at 22 May 2026, 20:00 UTC.
3. r = 75769.45 / 77615.99 − 1 = -2.38%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -2.38% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology