Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,141 at 21 May 2026, 20:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,063 at 22 May 2026, 20:00 UTC.
3. r = 2062.66 / 2140.79 − 1 = -3.65%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +3.65% against a neutral band of ±1.25% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology