Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,141 at 21 May 2026, 01:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,127 at 22 May 2026, 01:00 UTC.
3. r = 2127.22 / 2141.05 − 1 = -0.6%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology