Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 20 May 2026, 14:59 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

Jelle

@CryptoJelleNL

In reply to · 20 May 2026, 14:39 UTC · context given to the AI

@CryptoJelleNL So how could you say crypto is bearish then your an engagement farmer

@TuitionCoinSOL are you thick? bear markets do not go down in a straight line i still lean bearish on BTC weekly cchart doesnt mean i will ignore clear narratives like ZEC or HYPE lol

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,362 at 20 May 2026, 15:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $76,892 at 21 May 2026, 15:00 UTC.
r = 76891.99 / 77362.34 − 1 = -0.6%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “i still lean bearish on BTC weekly cchart”
Confidence: 86%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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AI interpretation

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