Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 20 May 2026, 13:49 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

CryptoBullet

@CryptoBullet1

In reply to · 20 May 2026, 11:15 UTC · context given to the AI

@CryptoBullet1 Artık $METIS ve $AR incelemesi bekliyoruz üstad. Pls

@kanatoglou metis & ar are no different than any other altcoin so better wait for the btc bear market bottom

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $77,126 at 20 May 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,036 at 21 May 2026, 14:00 UTC.
r = 77035.68 / 77125.56 − 1 = -0.1%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@kanatoglou metis & ar are no different than any other altcoin so better wait for the btc bear market bottom”
Confidence: 98%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3