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Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 20 May 2026, 13:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

Merlijn The Trader

@MerlijnTrader

Bitcoin is breaking down exactly as planned. Shared the short setup before the move happened. Now the position is already sitting at +$9K profit. Most traders react after the crash. We position before it 👇 https://t.co/A127AcIBfQ

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“The bull trap is spreading. Rising wedge breakdown on Bitcoin. Target: $66K. Rising wedge breakdown on Ethereum. Target: $1,850. Same pattern. Same week. Same direction. The flush is bigger than just Bitcoin. https://t.co/1BMUBhD1xl”Repeat20 May 2026, 15:00 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Bitcoin is breaking down exactly as planned.”
Confidence: 93%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record