Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 19 May 2026, 21:33 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 14:36 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

Quoting · 17 May 2026, 13:38 UTC · context given to the AI

Every time a new Fed chair was selected, $BTC dropped 70%+. Is this time different? https://t.co/1AtdF8p3oT

I think our new fed chair is hawkish. Take notes. https://t.co/396eOtsMQt

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Awaiting manual review

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “I think our new fed chair is hawkish. Take notes. https://t.co/396eOtsMQt”
Confidence: 52%
Review state: needs review · Low confidence (52%)
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3