Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $76,821 at 19 May 2026, 17:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 30 days horizon, $62,606 at 18 Jun 2026, 17:00 UTC.
3. r = 62605.56 / 76821.15 − 1 = -18.5%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +18.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology