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Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 19 May 2026, 11:30 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:17 UTC

swarmik

@swarmister

In reply to · 19 May 2026, 11:27 UTC · context given to the AI

Think we've had several dumps when Strategy was buying. My thinking is that sellers don't time their sells based on BTC price but based on STRC price and flows. I am biased to think that we can shoot above the 80k area if STRC is below $100 and get nuked from orbit at par. https://t.co/HsIRN3zn2z

@shrimp_capital 79.5 maximum imo, then to zero

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“$BTC update 4H / 1D tf Yeah, we crashed after my post We’ve seen another massive high-volume candle that absorbed all buying pressure (which wasn’t particularly strong). Again, looking at volume, we saw an absorption of the 76.4–77.3 cluster, which also eases pressure on the buy side. Overall, the previous 2.58% move has signaled the direction of future price action There is a small chance that the market will reverse here toward the area of interest around 79.5k, I’m not sure, and my entry point for a short position is significantly higher Also, looking at the 1D timeframe, we can see that the green candles here look logical and reasonable; however, I’m not planning to open any long positions, except for $hype and $ton, where I have an excellent entry point, I think they’ll accelerate in the coming days. Should we wait for the New York session or skip ahead to tomorrow? I’ll post a new update if the situation changes. Have a great day 🫰🏼”Repeat19 May 2026, 10:57 UTC
“@blancxbt if bitcoin loses 76711 its done forever and it will never come back”Repeat19 May 2026, 11:56 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “@shrimp_capital 79.5 maximum imo, then to zero”
Confidence: 95%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record