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Published 19 May 2026, 09:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC
Merlijn The Trader
@MerlijnTrader
BITCOIN IS IN THE SAME CHANNEL IT BROKE OUT OF IN 2022. 2022 channel: descended 12 months. Multiple bounces. One breakout. Then 4x. 2026 channel: same descent. Same trendline. Same structure. We're not at the breakout yet. We're at the part where everyone sells before it. Three more lows. Then the move. History doesn't repeat. But this chart is trying.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 77372.46 / 76982.07 − 1 = +0.5%d × r = +0.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
Uses only text available at publication time
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