Prediction evidence

Quoting · 18 May 2026, 04:41 UTC · context given to the AI

$BTC I’m gradually building into a small hedge long against the swing short at 77.8K. You are probably wondering “why” and the answer is simple: We’ve got a CME gap around 79K that could get tested, so because of that I am looking to run an equal hedge to protect my swing short. If the gap doesn’t fill and we end up printing another large imbalance like the 84K move, that is unpredictable in my eyes. Because of that, I’m keeping hard stops on the hedge around 74K, while scaling in with fractional entries if we deviate into the 74.8K region. If the hedge gets stopped, then we’re likely heading sub 70K. Main focus here is just protecting the short, since these gaps tend to fill more often than not.