Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,106 at 18 May 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,109 at 19 May 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 2108.5 / 2106 − 1 = +0.12%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.12% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology