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Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 18 May 2026, 08:56 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 14:36 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$BTC has dropped below the $77,000 level. The key support zone is $75,000 which might get retested next. After that, a rally is expected especially because of a new CME gap around $79,200 level. https://t.co/smg5oCPmHf

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $76,972 at 18 May 2026, 09:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $76,982 at 19 May 2026, 09:00 UTC.
r = 76982.07 / 76972.08 − 1 = +0.0%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC has dropped below the $77,000 level.”
Confidence: 98%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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