Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 17 May 2026, 21:02 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:57 UTC

Mayne

@Tradermayne

Quoting · 17 May 2026, 10:50 UTC · context given to the AI

$BTC is still in the Wyckoff distribution phase. The bottom isn't in yet. https://t.co/TngGeREgFs

Bottom isn’t in. Meanwhile shows a chart depicting accumulation and a bottom formation. Calls it distribution. https://t.co/EYUjTGflNZ

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,356 at 17 May 2026, 22:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,043 at 18 May 2026, 22:00 UTC.
r = 77043.32 / 78356.06 − 1 = -1.7%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “Bottom isn’t in. Meanwhile shows a chart depicting accumulation and a bottom formation. Calls it distribution. https://t.co/EYUjTGflNZ”
Confidence: 97%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3