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Published 17 May 2026, 07:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC
Merlijn The Trader
@MerlijnTrader
THIS IS REALLY BADD: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S.-Iran peace deal just collapsed. Again. Odds of a deal by June 15: dropped to 18%. Instantly. Oil: back at $105. Instantly. Last week: Trump-Xi summit. Fantastic deals. Partners not rivals. This weekend: Iran peace deal canceled. Rate hike probability: above 50%. Bitcoin Death Cross: confirmed. Every bearish signal aligning simultaneously. The checkmate everyone celebrated was premature. The war isn't over. The inflation isn't over. The correction isn't over Monday will be brutal.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 76868.41 / 78077.58 − 1 = -1.5%d × r = +1.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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