Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,098 at 17 May 2026, 06:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $76,714 at 24 May 2026, 06:00 UTC.
3. r = 76714.49 / 78098.48 − 1 = -1.77%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.77% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology