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Leaderboard / @exitpumpBTC / 2055721334227788034:bitcoin

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 16 May 2026, 18:45 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:20 UTC

ex

exitpump

@exitpumpBTC

$BTC Usually heavy dumps on weekend mark the bottom. https://t.co/vPr6Bi9GEs

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,197 at 16 May 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $78,229 at 17 May 2026, 19:00 UTC.
r = 78229.15 / 78196.95 − 1 = +0.0%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC Usually heavy dumps on weekend mark the bottom.”
Confidence: 94%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$78,197

Evaluation price

$78,229

Move

+0.0%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

10 Nov 2026, 23:14 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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