Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,173 at 16 May 2026, 10:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,189 at 17 May 2026, 10:00 UTC.
3. r = 2189.36 / 2172.55 − 1 = +0.8%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology