Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,601 at 16 May 2026, 07:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $75,312 at 23 May 2026, 07:00 UTC.
3. r = 75312.32 / 78600.63 − 1 = -4.2%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +4.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology