Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $79,017 at 16 May 2026, 04:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $77,993 at 17 May 2026, 04:00 UTC.
3. r = 77993.24 / 79016.69 − 1 = -1.3%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -1.3% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology