Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first $TRIA price at or after publication, $0.04758 at 15 May 2026, 17:31 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.04593 at 16 May 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 0.0459271275240134 / 0.0475767741771262 − 1 = -3.5%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -3.5% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology