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Published 15 May 2026, 09:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC
Merlijn The Trader
@MerlijnTrader
WARNING FOR BITCOIN BUYERS: Every Bitcoin Death Cross was the best buy signal in hindsight. With all the good news. I'm still bearish. CLARITY Act advancing. Trump-Xi deals. Nvidia chips cleared. All real. All bullish. But the chart doesn't care about narratives. Fourth Bitcoin Death Cross forming. $77K Ichimoku: the line that decides everything. 2015: Death Cross. -67%. Then 10,000%. 2018: Death Cross. -57%. Then 2,000%. 2022: Death Cross. -49%. Then 650%. For bears: confirmation incoming. For cycle buyers: the greatest setup of this cycle. Pain first. Then opportunity. That's always been Bitcoin's playbook.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 78042.8 / 80484.27 − 1 = -3.0%d × r = +3.0% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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