Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $79,591 at 14 May 2026, 10:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $80,484 at 15 May 2026, 10:00 UTC.
3. r = 80484.27 / 79591.07 − 1 = +1.1%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +1.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology