Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $79,706 at 14 May 2026, 08:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $80,817 at 15 May 2026, 08:00 UTC.
3. r = 80817.37 / 79706.12 − 1 = +1.39%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -1.39% against a neutral band of ±0.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology