Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $79,485 at 13 May 2026, 18:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $81,678 at 14 May 2026, 18:00 UTC.
3. r = 81678 / 79485.12 − 1 = +2.8%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -2.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology