Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 13 May 2026, 16:45 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC

Ed_NL

@Crypto_Ed_NL

In reply to · 13 May 2026, 12:44 UTC · context given to the AI

Looks like BTC and ETH are making the move I showed the group yesterday. BTC sub 79k ETH 2180 https://t.co/V4iecsIZfx

#BTC Reached the green box and first attempt to bounce. Usually, this pattern gives 1 more sweep of the lows. Let's see https://t.co/0ct2O7iM5f

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $79,068 at 13 May 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $81,877 at 14 May 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 81877.23 / 79068.35 − 1 = +3.6%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -3.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time