Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $78,783 at 13 May 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $77,377 at 20 May 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 77377.03 / 78783.05 − 1 = -1.8%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology