Prediction evidence

unscoredPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 13 May 2026, 14:29 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:20 UTC

exitpump

@exitpumpBTC

Quoting · 13 May 2026, 14:17 UTC · context given to the AI

BREAKING: Our traders forecast Bitcoin will crash to $60,000 this year https://t.co/Ei6v074tv1

$BTC For the first time since 60K bottom deepest orderbook depth flipped to negative delta on Coinbase. To me this is higher timeframe bearish sign. https://t.co/NGPVkK7hjS https://t.co/gcWKUmYLR3

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Same 24h episode

Repeated same-asset, same-direction calls count once, anchored to the first eligible post

“$BTC perps orderbooks are bearish, lots of asks and one big sell wall ($180M+) sitting at 81250 level since yesterday. Looking for shorts. Receive 20% fee rebate trading on OKX: https://t.co/8pXWAoujyw https://t.co/AQnwMD6Gs2”Repeat13 May 2026, 11:57 UTC

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▼ Bearish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC For the first time since 60K bottom deepest orderbook depth flipped to negative delta on Coinbase.”
Confidence: 98%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record