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Published 13 May 2026, 09:00 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC
Merlijn The Trader
@MerlijnTrader
SELL IN MAY AND WALK AWAY: The most dangerous words in crypto: "This time is different." Sell in May. Everyone ignores it. Until they can't. Bitcoin corrected 60%+ during previous May phases. Price is entering that exact seasonal window now. Three consecutive green months during a bear market. Never happened in Bitcoin history. Buffett warns. Michael Burry shorts. Livermore's chart flashes. Now the seasonal pattern aligns. I'm not calling a crash. I'm calling for respect of the risk.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 79784.57 / 81163.93 − 1 = -1.7%d × r = +1.7% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correctOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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