Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 12 May 2026, 15:58 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 11:00 UTC

Nebraskangooner

@Nebraskangooner

Quoting · 7 May 2026, 14:29 UTC · context given to the AI

$ETH Really doesn't look that great here at resistance https://t.co/bm2IJSfc6n

$ETH Continues to underperform. https://t.co/Rpy2A5jNlq https://t.co/WcERa8yq16

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,261 at 12 May 2026, 16:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,235 at 13 May 2026, 16:00 UTC.
r = 2235.3 / 2261.04 − 1 = -1.1%
Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time