Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,800 at 12 May 2026, 10:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $81,257 at 13 May 2026, 10:00 UTC.
3. r = 81256.6 / 80799.7 − 1 = +0.6%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.6% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology