Published 11 May 2026, 20:43 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 11:01 UTC
CRG
@MacroCRG
Quoting · 11 May 2026, 20:31 UTC · context given to the AI
$BTC still seeing lots of fractals and comparisons of current pa to last bear market, all bearish one thing that is v noteworthy: last bear market, BTC did not break above the daily cloud. not 1 daily close. when it finally did break above, it was a new bull market compare that to now: price is now comfortably above the daily cloud. that did not happen once throughout the last bear market. not saying we're about to go up only for years straight. just sharing to counteract all the bearish propagandafew more thoughts BTC has not made a new low for 94 days. over 3 months. if you're not at least entertaining the notion that the bottom is in, you're doing it wrong i'm still bullish rn and expect higher prices. could be in for some chop and volatility of course but overall after seeing what equities did/are doing, i think capital is now flocking to BTC as a catch up trade could be in for some nasty flushes when equities finally pull back (they will) but those dips will be buyable imo whether we get a new low at some point later this year, i personally don't think so, but of course still possible. i'd give 75% possibility that the bear market low is in. again, doesn't mean we're going straight into a multi year bull market. lots of resistances above and wood to chop. could be in a long ass time based capitulation. maybe we send to yearly open and range for another few months... hard to tell but overall. BTC has been drifting up / showing strength for 3 months now. you should be at least entertaining the notion that the low is inView original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
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Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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