Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 11 May 2026, 09:32 UTC · fetched 6 Nov 2026, 14:19 UTC

Rand Group

@randgroup

In reply to · 11 May 2026, 09:11 UTC · context given to the AI

Bitcoin adoption is at the same point as the internet in 2001 https://t.co/evxiIQzvpN

@QuintenFrancois We going so much higher

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,945 at 11 May 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $80,800 at 12 May 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 80799.7 / 80944.65 − 1 = -0.2%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time