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Published 11 May 2026, 08:48 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 10:58 UTC
₿IRB
@crypto_birb
Quoting · 9 Apr 2026, 14:31 UTC · context given to the AI
Is Bitcoin reversal due? April is one of best months on the record. Avg gain +18.93% positive 10 of 15 times, putting seasonal target at $80k. SMA200 ($88.5k) bear market trend is strong but it can have secondary bullish tides before going lower. Will we break $76k resistance? https://t.co/v6ZG2b9YAlUnpopular opinion: Retest of falling SMA200 is NOT bullish. bitcoin:native hugs bear market trend line now. Mean reversion complete. Bull trends: short term (SMA20), medium term (SMA50). Bear trends: long term (SMA200). Make or break. I think the latter -> $30k. Agree or disagree?View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 80804.6 / 80743.44 − 1 = +0.1%d × r = -0.1% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrectOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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