Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,425 at 10 May 2026, 20:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $78,369 at 17 May 2026, 20:00 UTC.
3. r = 78368.73 / 81425.14 − 1 = -3.8%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -3.8% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology