Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 10 May 2026, 16:16 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:33 UTC

Cheds Trading

@BigCheds

Quoting · 8 May 2026, 14:20 UTC · context given to the AI

$BTC holding throwback level so far https://t.co/3cyQAysHgQ https://t.co/CbtfleDD3a

$BTC pushing again after holding on throwback to DEMA/prior highs https://t.co/1B7mM1Pw2t https://t.co/neYF64Iazq

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,357 at 10 May 2026, 17:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $81,552 at 11 May 2026, 17:00 UTC.
r = 81551.99 / 81357.27 − 1 = +0.2%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.2% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Bitcoin (BTC)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: inferred
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$BTC pushing again after holding on throwback to DEMA/prior highs https://t.co/1B7mM1Pw2t https://t.co/neYF64Iazq”
Confidence: 97%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3